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Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 250.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 240.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.7. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the top QBs in football last year, averaging an outstanding 264.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has displayed good efficiency last year, yielding 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in football.The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.63 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
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