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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 284.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 42.5.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league vs. the Dolphins defense this year (74.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patrick Mahomes's 285.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his throwing skills over last season's 325.0 figure.

Patrick Mahomes's 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies a noteable regression in his throwing effectiveness over last year's 8.5% figure.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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