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Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

In throwing a colossal 36.9 pass attempts per game this year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (93rd percentile) by this measure.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Pass AttemptsPlayer Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 5