Patrick Mahomes Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Interceptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2025

Updated Oct 27, 2025 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
In logging a colossal 36.7 pass attempts per game this year, Patrick Mahomes places among the top QBs in football (86th percentile) in this respect.
The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Washington's defense grades out as the worst in the NFL this year as it relates to causing interceptions, notching a lowly 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Patrick Mahomes has averaged a lowly 0.29 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 75th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

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