Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.
Patrick Mahomes has averaged 0.96 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile when it comes to QBs.
Favors Under
A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.