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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the projections to total the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.5.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.

The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patrick Mahomes's passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.3% to 59.9%.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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