My Account Log Out
 
 
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 36.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 68.3% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™