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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.

The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 38.0 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

Patrick Mahomes's 63.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his throwing precision over last year's 68.3% rate.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season (66.8% Adjusted Completion%).

The Eagles linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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