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Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Patrick Mahomes has attempted 38.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 97th percentile among QBs.

The Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects this game to chug along at the 13th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.7 per game) this year.

Patrick Mahomes's 63.6% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant diminishment in his throwing accuracy over last year's 68.3% figure.

This year, the stout Chargers defense has yielded a paltry 65.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 15