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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the projection model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.5.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football versus the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Broncos safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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