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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.7.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

With a stellar 68.3% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) last year, Patrick Mahomes places as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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