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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to be a more important option in his team's running game in this week's game (17.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.4% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 34.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 6th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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