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Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).

Patrick Mahomes has averaged 4.2 carries per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league among quarterbacks (75th percentile).

After accounting for 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently making up 17.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 40.6% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to chug along at the 13th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may decline.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes CarriesPlayer Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 15