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Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average).

After taking on 9.3% of his offense's carries last year, Patrick Mahomes has been called on more in the run game this year, currently making up 17.3%.

The Cowboys linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 36.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see just 128.0 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes CarriesPlayer Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 13