My Account Log Out
 
 
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • After taking on 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, now sitting at 18.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™