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Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -540 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

With a fantastic ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (76th percentile), Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

After accruing 28.0 air yards per game last year, Pat Freiermuth has seen a big decrease this year, now pacing 21.0 per game.

Pat Freiermuth's 23.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 34.2.

Pat Freiermuth's 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 89.0% rate.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9