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Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+435/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -425 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

Pat Freiermuth grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a colossal 12.5% of his team's air yards accumulated.

With an outstanding rate of 0.33 per game through the air (83rd percentile), Pat Freiermuth ranks as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 49.0% rate of running the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Steelers.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

Pat Freiermuth's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 34.2.

Pat Freiermuth's 81.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% figure.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8