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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-770).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +475 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns defense has given up the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in the league to TEs: 0.60 per game this year.
  • This year, the daunting Browns run defense has conceded a paltry 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 8th-best rate in football.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive ends project as the best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (46.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).

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