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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+450/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -660 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • With a fantastic rate of 0.29 per game through the air (81st percentile), Pat Freiermuth rates among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among TEs this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 28.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has produced significantly less this season, now pacing 16.0 per game.

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