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Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-465).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +410 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +430.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.

After averaging 28.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has seen a big decrease this season, currently pacing 17.0 per game.

Pat Freiermuth's 21.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 34.2.

Pat Freiermuth's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 89.0% to 79.7%.

This year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has conceded a meager 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16