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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-990).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -990.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth grades out in the 87th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an outstanding 0.36 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Pat Freiermuth has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (28.0 per game).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 20.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 34.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a significant regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 89.0% rate.

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