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Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

Pat Freiermuth's 23.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 34.2.

Pat Freiermuth's receiving talent has tailed off this year, notching just 2.3 adjusted catches compared to 3.9 last year.

Pat Freiermuth's 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 89.0% rate.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 9