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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (51.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.8%).
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this season shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 3.9 mark.

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