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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • With a remarkable 16.2% Target% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been among the tight ends with the most usage in football.
  • With a remarkable 3.8 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 84.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% figure.

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