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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-230).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the poor Ravens pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Pat Freiermuth has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (51.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (75.8%).
  • Pat Freiermuth's play as a receiver has diminished this year, compiling just 2.4 adjusted receptions compared to 3.9 last year.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a significant regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 89.0% rate.

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