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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.53 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 52.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been used less as a potential target this year (52.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.8%).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year marks a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 3.9 rate.

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