reorder

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.

Pat Freiermuth has been used less as a potential target this year (52.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.8%).

Pat Freiermuth's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year marks a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 3.9 rate.

Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 89.0% to 84.1%.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 13