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Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).

As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Chicago's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Pat Freiermuth's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.

Pat Freiermuth's receiving skills have tailed off this season, totaling just 2.3 adjusted catches compared to 3.9 last season.

Pat Freiermuth's 82.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a substantial regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% rate.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

Pat Freiermuth ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 12