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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-148/+112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.9 mark.

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