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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.9 mark.

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