My Account Log Out

reorder

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers last year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

In this game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the projections to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.3 targets.

With a top-tier 16.7% Target Share (88th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth has been among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

With an outstanding 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (84th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth stands as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

With an outstanding 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (100th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.6 per game) last year.

The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league last year in defending receivers.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™