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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed a colossal 70.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 4th-worst in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 8.91 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.
  • After accruing 28.0 air yards per game last year, Pat Freiermuth has seen a big decrease this year, now pacing 21.0 per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 23.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 34.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 89.0% rate.

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