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Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/+100).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.The Bengals defense has been torched for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (67.0) versus tight ends this year.The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.Pat Freiermuth has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (51.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.8%).After accruing 28.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has regressed heavily this season, now pacing 14.0 per game.The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
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