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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a remarkable 16.2% Target% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been among the tight ends with the most usage in football.

Pat Freiermuth has posted a monstrous 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among TEs.

With a remarkable 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth stands among the leading pass-catching TEs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Pat Freiermuth's 84.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% figure.

Pat Freiermuth's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 8.25 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.35 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the imposing New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.0 YAC.

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