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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers since the start of last season (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).

The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a remarkable 16.2% Target% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been among the tight ends with the most usage in football.

Pat Freiermuth has posted a monstrous 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Freiermuth's 84.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% figure.

Pat Freiermuth's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.35 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the imposing New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.0 YAC.

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