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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 5.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been used less as a potential target this season (55.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.8%).
  • After accumulating 28.0 air yards per game last year, Pat Freiermuth has posted significant losses this year, now averaging 20.0 per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 28.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 41.0 figure.
  • Pat Freiermuth's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 89.0% to 78.5%.

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