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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • In this game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 83rd percentile among TEs with 5.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • Pat Freiermuth has run fewer routes this year (54.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (75.8%).
  • After totaling 28.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has produced significantly fewer this season, now pacing 18.0 per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 41.0 figure.
  • Pat Freiermuth's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 89.0% to 79.9%.

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