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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this season (10.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (16.7%).

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