My Account Log Out
 
 
Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Pat Freiermuth comes in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an exceptional 8.69 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 75th percentile.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.53 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 52.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been used less as a potential target this year (52.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.8%).
  • Pat Freiermuth has accrued far fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (28.0 per game).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™