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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a stellar 8.8 adjusted yards per target (77th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth has been among the top TEs in the pass game in football.
  • This year, the feeble Bears defense has been gouged for a monstrous 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-most in football.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth has accrued far fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

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