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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the worst in the league.
  • This year, the deficient Bengals defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a massive 9.49 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Pat Freiermuth has notched far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.

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