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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the worst in the league.
  • This year, the deficient Bengals defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a massive 9.49 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Pat Freiermuth has notched far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).
  • Pat Freiermuth's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 34.2.

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