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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers last year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

In this game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the projections to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.3 targets.

With a top-tier 16.7% Target Share (88th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth has been among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

In regards to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the lofty 83rd percentile among tight ends last year, averaging a colossal 27.0 per game.

Pat Freiermuth ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends last year, averaging an impressive 41.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.6 per game) last year.

Last year, the stout New York Jets defense has given up a feeble 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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