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Pat Freiermuth
NFL · Player Props
Pat Freiermuth
TE · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 9, 2023 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -129.

Favors Over
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this season (19.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).
  • Pat Freiermuth has put up significantly more air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.1% to 68.9%.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (65.3%) versus TEs this year (65.3%).
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