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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The model projects Parris Campbell to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.2% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's unit has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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