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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The model projects Parris Campbell to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.2% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Parris Campbell has accumulated a mere 7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Parris Campbell is positioned as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a mere 4.43 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 16th percentile among WRs
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a puny 6.3 yards.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 2.98 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

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