Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Parris Campbell has run fewer routes this year (84.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (55.3%).
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 78.5% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Parris Campbell has posted far fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).

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