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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+306/-550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -534 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -550.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Parris Campbell has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 77.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Parris Campbell has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) vs. WRs this year (64.4%).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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