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Parker Washington

Parker Washington Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Parker Washington Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-290).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +255 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.7% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.5% red zone run rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Texans defense has given up the 3rd-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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