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Parker Washington

Parker Washington Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Parker Washington Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+123/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.7% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.9%) to wideouts this year (55.9%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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