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Oronde Gadsden II

Oronde Gadsden II Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Oronde Gadsden II Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) vs. TEs this year (68.9%).
  • The Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs this year, conceding 6.28 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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