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Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton Carries
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Omarion Hampton Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
  • The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 27th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.0% run rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

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