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The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.While Olamide Zaccheaus has garnered 18.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Chicago's offense near the goal line this week at 5.5%.Olamide Zaccheaus's 62.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 72.3% figure.
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