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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-425).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +370 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +305.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.3% this year, which puts him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • After totaling 24.0 air yards per game last season, Olamide Zaccheaus has made big progress this season, currently pacing 29.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 64.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving ability over last season's 72.3% rate.

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